UK Election YouGov Poll Predicts Conservative Majority

UK Election YouGov Poll Predicts Conservative Majority - Surge Zirc SA
Britain’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson is on course for an increased majority in next month’s general election, a new poll says / Photo file: AFP

UK Prime Minister, Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party would have won a comfortable majority in Britain’s parliament only if the election had taken place this week, following a poll published by a renowned research firm YouGov.

Boris Johnson is looking to secure a majority vote as Britain votes on December 12, to enable him succesfully push through his Brexit deal to take the country out of the EU.

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YouGov’s poll, published Wednesday, stated after pointing that if the elections were held on Thursday that the Conservatives would grab 44 seats from the main opposition Labour party to win a 68-seat majority, “As expected, the key thing deciding the extent to which each of these seats is moving against Labour (is) how that seat voted in the European Union referendum” in 2016, said Chris Curtis, YouGov’s political research manager.

The poll is the first to predict election results seat-by-seat in this campaign, and it uses a model that accurately forecast 93 percent of seats in the last general election in 2017, said YouGov.

It predict that the Conservatives’ total seat count would climb to 359, compared to 211 for Labour and that the left-wing party would lose 51 seats overall.

“In terms of seats won, this would be the Conservatives’ best performance since 1987,” said the pollster, who also analysed data including interviews with around 100,000 people about their voting intentions.

UK Mr. Johnson, who clinched a minority administration in July and have been unable to speed his European Union exit deal through parliament, has vowed to take Britain out of the union by January 31.

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Among the smaller parties in the House of Commons, the poll predicted that the Scottish National Party (SNP) would scoop eight seats to a total of 43, while the Liberal Democrats were said a total of 13 seats, Welsh party Plaid Cymru four and the Green Party one.

This came as Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn alleged that Mr. Johnson plotted a “toxic” deal with Donald Trump to allow US pharmaceutical companies access to Britain’s state health service.

Moreover, Labour is being investigated by the Equality and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) after a number of complaints about anti-Semitism in the party was alleged.

Source: AFP, SurgeZirc UK

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